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Why does picking a deductible feel like a weird gamble?

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cnelson22
Posts: 15
(@cnelson22)
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Picking a deductible really does feel like betting against yourself. I mean,

“a higher deductible can actually make sense”
if you’re not out there racking up claims, but it’s always that one time you sneeze and back into a mailbox... Murphy’s Law, right? I’ve seen people save a ton with higher deductibles, but only if they’re cool with the risk. Coffee stains, though—sadly, not covered.


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donald_harris
Posts: 11
(@donald_harris)
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Yeah, it’s wild how it feels like you’re daring fate every time you pick a higher deductible. I went with a $1,000 one last year thinking I’d never need it—then a rogue shopping cart nailed my bumper. Ended up paying almost the whole repair myself. Still, over a few years, the savings do add up if you’re lucky... but man, that first claim stings.


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Posts: 8
(@mountaineer99)
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- Been there—had a $500 deductible for years, then bumped it up to $1,000 thinking I’d save a few bucks. Next thing you know, a tree branch took out my side mirror. Ended up paying almost the whole thing out of pocket.
- For older cars, sometimes the repair cost isn’t even much more than the deductible, especially if you can do some work yourself.
- Curious—has anyone actually run the numbers over, say, five years? I always wonder if the premium savings really outweigh the risk in the long run...


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(@gandalf_thomas)
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Picking a deductible really does feel like betting against yourself. I bumped mine up to $1,000 too, thinking, “How often do I really need this?” Then, of course, I got rear-ended in a parking lot. The repair was $1,200, so I basically paid the whole thing anyway.

Curious—has anyone actually run the numbers over, say, five years? I always wonder if the premium savings really outweigh the risk in the long run...

I tried to do the math once, but honestly, it’s tough to predict. My premium dropped maybe $10 a month when I raised my deductible, so over five years that’s $600 saved... but one accident wipes that out fast. If you’re lucky and nothing happens, you come out ahead, but it’s a total coin flip. For older cars, I almost feel like skipping comprehensive/collision altogether makes more sense if you can stomach the risk.

It’s like insurance companies know exactly how to make us second-guess every choice.


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Posts: 22
(@cwilliams98)
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Totally get what you mean—it really does feel like a gamble every year. I did the same math and realized if I go five years accident-free, sure, I save a few hundred bucks. But one fender bender and it’s all wiped out, just like you said. For my old Subaru, I dropped collision last year since the payout wouldn’t be much anyway. It’s weird how insurance always feels like you’re hedging your bets, but the house (aka the company) usually wins...


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